基于时序过程的沿黄粮食主产区土地利用分异研究
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河南省重点研发与推广专项(222102320299)、湖南省自然科学基金项目(2021JJ40352)和湖南省教育厅创新平台科研项目(20K080)


Land Use Differentiation in Typical Main Grain Producing Areas along Yellow River Based on Time Series Processes
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    摘要:

    探查粮食主产区土地利用变化规律,能够发现土地利用行为异常、实现粮食生产优化配置,但相关研究在时空过程解析上重格局轻过程、重模拟轻度量,定量分析仍显不足。本文基于多期土地利用序列数据等,从时序过程视角构建累积动态度模型,并采用时空栅格建模、空间点模式分析等方法,定量揭示1980年以来河南省沿黄粮食主产区土地利用变化过程特征,深化土地利用变化内在规律挖掘和多维表达研究。结果表明:1980—2020年,河南省沿黄的原阳县、封丘县等6县以耕地利用为主且面积占比均超过79%,城镇建设用地剧烈扩张而农村居民点面积增长平缓,城乡二元化发展显著,水域、林地受国家政策调控影响较大,面积波动变化。变化时序过程受距离线性要素(黄河和主干道路)远近的影响较大,但影响类型和范围存在差异。距离较近范围的累积变化类型Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ均处于聚集状态,且随着缓冲区扩大,类型Ⅰ的聚集程度先增后减,类型Ⅱ、Ⅲ则持续减弱。变化时序过程的空间尺度性效应显著。累积变化强烈的地区受空间尺度影响较小,空间尺度1km下各类型均处于离散状态,但随着空间尺度增加,聚集性逐渐提高,并至9km处达到极值。土地利用累积动态度能较好揭示长时间序列土地利用变化的过程性规律,为加强对当地土地利用变化认知、促进土地资源优化配置提供理论支撑。

    Abstract:

    By exploring the laws of land use changes in the main grain producing areas, the abnormal land use behaviors can be identified and the allocation of grain production can be optimized. However, current research primarily focuses on patterns rather than processes, and simulations rather than quantitative analyses, resulting in insufficient data. Multi-period land use sequence data was used to quantitatively reveal the characteristics of land use change processes in the main grain producing areas along the Yellow River in Henan Province since 1980. Time-series processes, time-space grid modeling, cumulative dynamic degree models, spatial point pattern analyses, and other methods were employed to deepen understanding of the internal laws and multi-dimensional expressions of land use change. The results showed that since 1980, there was significant temporal and spatial heterogeneity in land use along the Yellow River. The area of cultivated land was decreased slowly, urban construction land was expanded, rural residential areas were grown slowly, the land for water areas was firstly decreased and then increased, and the forest land was increased first and then decreased. The land development activities along the Yellow River and around the county built-up areas were intensified and become more frequent. The time sequence process was greatly affected by the distance from roads and rivers, but the impact types and scope were different. The land dynamic change types Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ, located close to the linear elements, were in the aggregation distribution state. With the expansion of the buffer zone, the aggregation degree of type Ⅰ was firstly increased and then decreased, while types Ⅱ and Ⅲ continued to be weaken. The temporal process was greatly affected by the spatial scale. The stronger the change was, the weaker the influence of the spatial scale was. All types were in a discrete state at 1km spatial scale, but the aggregation was increased gradually with the increase of spatial scale. The timeseries process research method based on cumulative dynamic degree could better reveal the information of long-time series land use change, thus deepening the understanding of land use changes.

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杨崇科,马泉来,周浩,万小强,曹艳杰.基于时序过程的沿黄粮食主产区土地利用分异研究[J].农业机械学报,2023,54(8):171-179. YANG Chongke, MA Quanlai, ZHOU Hao, WAN Xiaoqiang, CAO Yanjie. Land Use Differentiation in Typical Main Grain Producing Areas along Yellow River Based on Time Series Processes[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2023,54(8):171-179.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-12-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-27
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