基于地块尺度的永久基本农田非粮化特征、驱动与管控
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国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA096)和国家自然科学基金项目(42171289)


Characteristics, Drivers and Control of Non-grain Production on Permanent Basic Farmland Based on Plot Scale
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    摘要:

    掌握永久基本农田非粮生产地块特征、空间集聚及驱动因子可为优化作物种植空间布局、完善耕地精细化管控策略提供参考依据。基于广西壮族自治区第三次全国国土调查数据,分析全区永久基本农田非粮生产现状、类型以及地块特征,采用探索性空间数据分析方法、最小二乘法、地理加权回归模型识别永久基本农田非粮生产空间集聚特征、驱动因子及其作用效应的空间差异。结果表明:全区永久基本农田非粮生产地块主要分布在中部、西部、北部,非粮生产类型以果树和乔木为主,占非粮生产面积的88.85%;非粮生产地块的耕地质量、灌溉条件低于全区平均水平,但集中分布在地势平坦的区域,田面坡度小于等于6°的地块占77.86%;非粮生产比例在县级尺度上呈现显著空间正自相关性,H-H型主要分布在中部和西南部,L-L型主要分布在东部和西北部,H-L型集中分布在西部;田块规模、人均永久基本农田面积、农村居民人均可支配收入、各县到省会城市距离与县域非粮生产比例呈正相关,耕地质量、灌溉保证率与县域非粮生产比例呈负相关,不同驱动因子对非粮生产的影响存在显著的空间差异性。未来应从优化作物布局、加强质量建设、监管属性特征、完善保护补偿等方面加强全区永久基本农田非粮生产地块的管控。

    Abstract:

    Mastering the plot characteristics, spatial agglomeration, and drivers of nongrain production on permanent basic farmland can provide a reference for optimizing the spatial layout of crops and improving the fine control strategy of cultivated land. Based on the data of the Third National Land Survey of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, the current status, types, and plot characteristics of non-grain production on permanent basic farmland were analyzed. The spatial exploratory analysis method, ordinary least square, and geographically weighted regression models were used to identify the spatial aggregation characteristics, drivers, and the spatial variation in their effects of non-grain production on permanent basic farmland in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. The results showed that the non-grain production plots of permanent basic farmland were mainly distributed in the central, western, and northern parts of the region, and the non-grain production types were mainly fruit trees and arbor, accounting for 88.85% of the non-grain production area. The quality and irrigation conditions of non-grain production plots were lower than that of the regional average of permanent basic farmland, but they were concentrated in areas with flat terrain, with 77.86% of plots with field surface slopes no more than 6°. The nongrain rate of permanent basic farmland in the counties of the region presented a significant positive spatial autocorrelation. The H-H agglomeration was mainly distributed in the central and southwestern parts of the region, the L-L agglomeration was mainly distributed in the eastern and northwestern parts of the region, and the H-L type was concentrated in the west. Field size, per capita permanent basic farmland area, per capita disposable income of rural residents, and distance from each county to the provincial capital were positively correlated with county-level permanent basic farmland non-grain production. Quality and irrigation guarantee rates were negatively correlated with non-grain production of permanent basic farmland in the county, with significant spatial variability in the impact of different drivers on non-grain production. In the future, the control of non-grain production plots of permanent basic farmland in the region should be strengthened in terms of optimizing crop layout, strengthening quality construction, regulating attribute characteristics, and improving protection compensation.

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陈文广,廖宇波,孔祥斌,雷鸣,温良友,张蚌蚌.基于地块尺度的永久基本农田非粮化特征、驱动与管控[J].农业机械学报,2023,54(6):114-124. CHEN Wenguang, LIAO Yubo, KONG Xiangbin, LEI Ming, WEN Liangyou, ZHANG Bangbang. Characteristics, Drivers and Control of Non-grain Production on Permanent Basic Farmland Based on Plot Scale[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2023,54(6):114-124.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-01-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-12
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