基于深度学习的密闭式猪舍内温湿度预测模型
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国家自然科学基金面上项目(32072787)、东北农业大学农业农村部生猪养殖设施工程重点实验室开放课题、国家生猪产业技术体系项目(CARS-35)、东北农业大学东农学者计划项目(19YJXG02)和国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFD0800602)


Thermal Environment Prediction and Validation Based on Deep Learning Algorithm in Closed Pig House
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    摘要:

    针对目前猪舍环境控制中传感器只能实现对当前环境状况的监测,无法对猪舍内环境变化趋势作出预判,不能提前对环境控制设备运行状态进行调节,在一定程度上造成环境控制效果滞后的问题,基于深度学习方法,结合实际传感器监测的历史数据和猪舍外影响数据,建立了长短时记忆(Long shortterm memory,LSTM)网络预测模型,实现了精确的猪舍内温湿度变化预测。结果表明,猪舍内冬季和夏季温湿度预测值与实测值变化趋势一致,温度最大误差1.9℃,平均误差为0.5℃;相对湿度最大误差为13.5%,平均误差为2.3%;温度和相对湿度预测的平均决定系数分别为0.821和0.645。本文建立的预测模型具有较优性能,可为制定优化的猪舍内环境控制策略,解决环境控制效果滞后问题提供可行的参考。

    Abstract:

    With the development of scaled pig farm, the environmentalcontrolled breeding production with closed house has got a rapid progress in recent years. However, in order to maximize the commercial interests, there are always limited living space designed for pigs in the closed pig house. Indoor environmental quality, especially the thermal environment quality, is particularly important in the limited living space of the closed pig house, which has significant effect on pigs health, welfare and reproductivity. The indoor environment mainly includes thermal environment, harmful gas, dust, bacteria, light, etc. The thermal environment mainly refers to the indoor air temperature and humidity. The indoor air temperature is one of the most important environmental factors that directly affects the heat balance of pigs. Because pigs maintain a constant body temperature and carry out normal life activities through the balance of heat production and dissipation. So, indoor air temperature takes a critical role on keeping a constant pig body temperature and affect the health level and reproductive capacity of pigs. The humidity affects the evaporation and the body heat regulation of pigs. The high temperature and high humidity environment will seriously affect the pigs’ daily weight gain, at the same time, it will cause bacteria growth and disease. So, the indoor air temperature and humidity were payed much attention by many researchers in the past decades in order to maintain a suitable indoor environment for pigs. An optimized control strategy, an accuracy and timeliness environmental control was the first important task for pig house environmental control system. At present, the operation of environmental control devices in pig house mainly relies on data that collected by sensors. However, due to the data collected by sensors can only reflect the current indoor environmental conditions, it can not predict the trend of environmental variation in pig house, thus can not adjust the operation status of environmental control device in advance, to some extent, which leads to some time lag of environmental control system. Predictions of indoor environment is an effective way to provide a precision and optimal control strategy with forecasting for the indoor temperature and humidity variations to avoid some control lags. Combined with the actual historical temperature and humidity data and external influence data that collected by sensors, and based on the deep learning method, the long short-term memory (LSTM) prediction model was developed to achieve an accurate prediction and verification of temperature and humidity variation in pig house. The results showed that the predictions of temperature and humidity were consistent well with the observations whatever in winter or in summer. The maximum error of temperature was 1.9℃, and the mean error was 0.5℃; the maximum error of relative humidity was 135%, and the mean error was 2.3%; the mean determination coefficients R2 of temperature and humidity were 0.821 and 0.645, respectively. The established prediction model achieved a higher performance, which can provide a feasible reference for an optimal environmental control strategy and the reduction of time lag for environmental control in pig house. 

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谢秋菊,郑萍,包军,苏中滨.基于深度学习的密闭式猪舍内温湿度预测模型[J].农业机械学报,2020,51(10):353-361. XIE Qiuju, ZHENG Ping, BAO Jun, SU Zhongbin. Thermal Environment Prediction and Validation Based on Deep Learning Algorithm in Closed Pig House[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(10):353-361.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-02-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-10-10
  • 出版日期: 2020-10-10