哺乳母猪舍环境舒适度评价预测模型优化
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国家自然科学基金项目(31872399)、江苏省农业科技自主创新资金项目(CX(16)1006)、江苏大学优势学科工程建设项目(PAPD-2018-87)和江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX18_2262)


Optimization of Evaluation and Prediction Model of Environmental Comfort in Lactating Sow House
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    摘要:

    针对母猪舍多环境因子相互耦合,难以合理、准确地预测判断猪舍环境舒适度的问题,根据畜禽舍养殖环境标准,构建了评价指标体系,提出了基于变尺度混沌布谷鸟算法优化混合核最小二乘支持向量回归机的哺乳母猪舍环境舒适度评价预测模型(MSCCS-LSSVR),并采用粒子群算法优化模型(PSO-LSSVR)、遗传算法优化模型(GA-LSSVR)、传统的LSSVR模型与本文模型进行了对比。利用本文模型对江苏省镇江市希玛牧业生猪养殖场哺乳母猪舍养殖环境舒适度进行了评价预测。结果表明,混合核MSCCS-LSSVR、PSO-LSSVR、GA-LSSVR和传统LSSVR 4种预测模型的平均绝对误差分别为0.0611、0.0972、0.1306和0.1681;混合核MSCCS-LSSVR模型比其他3种模型具有更高的预测精度和更可靠的性能,提高了猪舍环境评价预测水平,在评价预测中具有可行性和有效性。实际应用表明,本文模型能准确地反映猪舍空气质量状况,可以为猪舍环境精准调控提供决策支持,具有一定的应用价值。

    Abstract:

    As the sow building environment is a complex, nonlinear and timevarying system, consisting of multiple coupling factors, it is difficult to predict the environment comfort reasonably. Therefore, a prediction model was built to determine the variation trend of environment comfortable degree. The assessment index system was constructed, and the parameter optimization of the least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) with mixed kernels was presented based on mutative scale chaos cuckoo search (MSCCS) algorithm to find optimal parameters γ and σ. The model was exploited to predict the sow house environmental comfort. Three models of particle swarm optimization (PSO-LSSVR), genetic algorithm (GA-LSSVR) and traditional LSSVR were compared with the proposed prediction model. The experimental results showed that MSCCS-LSSVR had a higher accuracy and more reliable performance than the other three models, the mean absolute error (MAE) were 0.0611, 0.0972, 0.1306 and 0.1681, respectively. To facilitate the use of prediction model for farmers, a comfort assessment and prediction system graphical user interface (GUI) based on Matlab was developed. Farmers could download the historical data from a webserver and then exploit them as training and testing data, the assessment and prediction results at different time calculated and displayed on the GUI. A prediction model was exploited in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu Province, China, and it performed well. It can reflect the air quality reasonably and also provide decision support for precise regulation of a swine house environment. It can help farmers decrease the risk of livestock breeding. 

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陈冲,刘星桥,刘超吉,常润民.哺乳母猪舍环境舒适度评价预测模型优化[J].农业机械学报,2020,51(8):311-319. CHEN Chong, LIU Xingqiao, LIU Chaoji, CHANG Runmin. Optimization of Evaluation and Prediction Model of Environmental Comfort in Lactating Sow House[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(8):311-319.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-11-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-08-10
  • 出版日期: 2020-08-10