我国粮食虚拟水流动对水资源和区域经济的影响
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“十二五”国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2011BAD29B09)


Impact of Virtual Water Flows of Grain on Water Resources and Regional Economy in China
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    摘要:

    虚拟水流动是虚拟水形态的水资源在地理空间上的再分配,对区域经济和水资源具有重要影响。以省级行政区为单元,计算了2010年我国粮食生产、消费、调运及生产用水和虚拟水流动情况;选取节水量、水资源压力指数和人均国内生产总值3个指标,定量研究了我国区域间粮食虚拟水流动对区域经济和水资源的影响。结果表明:我国省级行政区之间粮食虚拟水流动量为1 138.1亿m3,其中蓝水为449.7亿m3,流动的主要规律是从水资源效率高的地区流向效率低的地区,从缺水地区流向丰水地区,从经济欠发达的地区流向经济相对发达的地区。相应地,在国家尺度上,省级行政区之间的粮食虚拟水流动节水578.9亿m3,其中蓝水为478.9亿m3;粮食虚拟水输出使输出省级行政区水资源压力指数由1.61(假设输出区粮食虚拟水输出为0)上升到2.04;人均GDP由43 428元(假设生产调出粮食的水量全部转变为工业用水)减少到31 776元。提高农业用水效率,实施虚拟水补偿,优化作物种植结构是解决我国区域虚拟水流动负面效应的关键措施。

    Abstract:

    The virtual water flows could be seen as the spatial redistribution of water resources in virtual form, which have a significant influence on regional economy and water resources. The production, consumption, transfer of grain crops, water use and virtual water flows were calculated for different provinces of China in 2010. Then the effects of regional grain virtual water flows on regional economy and water resources were demonstrated by using water saving amount, water stress index and GDP per capita. The results showed that the volume of grain virtual water flows between different provinces of China was 113.81 Gm3 and the blue water was 44.97 Gm3. Most of the flows were from regions with relatively high water use efficiency to those with relatively low water use efficiency regions, from water-shortage regions to water-rich regions, from regions with low economic level to those with high economic level regions. As a result, about 57.89 Gm3 of water resources were saved due to regional grain virtual water flows and the value for blue water was 47.89 Gm3, the water stress index increased from 1.61 to 2.04 assuming the virtual water export was zero, and the GDP per capita decreased from 43 428 Yuan to 31 776 Yuan assuming that all of water resources used to produce the exported grain crops could be used for industrial production. The improvement of agricultural water use efficiency, the compensation for virtual water flows and the optimization of cropping pattern could be measures with great significance to alleviate the negative effects caused by regional virtual water flows of China.

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王玉宝,吴普特,孙世坤,操信春,刘静.我国粮食虚拟水流动对水资源和区域经济的影响[J].农业机械学报,2015,46(10):208-215.

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  • 收稿日期:2015-06-09
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-10-10
  • 出版日期: 2015-10-10