基于证据理论的温室投资风险效益评估专家系统
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(30771259)、江苏省科技支撑计划资助项目(BE2010347)、江苏省高校基础研究重大项目(08KJA210001)和江苏大学人才启动基金资助项目(06JDG038)


Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory
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    摘要:

    通过建立温室投资风险效益评估指标体系,利用修正层次分析法建立各因素之间的权重,采用D-S证据理论方法建立温室投资风险效益评估模型,并开发温室投资风险效益评估专家系统。系统可通过不同专家进行评估,再进行温室投资方案的综合评估,为温室投资者选择合适的温室结构类型提供参考依据。

    Abstract:

    In order to analyze the risk-benefit assessment for greenhouse investment, risk-benefit assessment index system for greenhouse investment was established, and the weight of the factors was determined by using revised analytic hierarchy process. The riskbenefit assessment model of greenhouse investment was established based on D-S evidence theory. Expert system for risk-benefit assessment of greenhouse investment was developed. By means of the expert system, each expert can give the assessment for every program, and then the system assesses the risk-benefit comprehensively according to the ideas of each expert. The result can provide the basis for the investors to choose the proper greenhouse structure.

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王纪章,李冬生,李萍萍.基于证据理论的温室投资风险效益评估专家系统[J].农业机械学报,2011,42(5):203-207.

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