双碳背景下黑龙江省农村生活用能研究
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中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目和财政部和农业农村部:国家现代农业产业技术体系项目(CARS-02)


Rural Living Energy in Heilongjiang Province under Background of Carbon Peak and Neutrality
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    摘要:

    针对黑龙江省农村生活用能高、结构不合理及秸秆能源需求大等问题,开展了黑龙江省农村生活用能研究,并对2030年、2060年黑龙江省的农村能源进行了资源量、消费量、能源结构以及温室气体减排贡献等相关预测分析。结果表明:目前黑龙江省农村生活用能总量稳定在0.220亿t标煤,农村生活用能结构以秸秆、煤炭为主,特别是秸秆使用占比显著高于全国水平;从减排角度测算,秸秆散烧、生物质成型燃料的使用对温室气体减排贡献分别为0.014亿t CO2e、0.013亿t CO2e。经预测,2030年、2060年黑龙江省农村居民生活能源消费总量分别为0.059亿t标煤、0.022亿t标煤;可收集秸秆的资源量分别为0.928亿t、1.256亿t。在减排背景下,满足秸秆还田需求和秸秆饲料化需求的基础上,预测2030年、2060年黑龙江省可用于秸秆能源化的最大潜能分别为0.235亿t、0.317亿t,折合标煤分别为0.045亿t标煤、0.061亿t标煤,分别占2030年、2060年黑龙江省农村居民生活能源消费总量的5.183%、18.529%。此外,2030年、2060年秸秆能源化的温室气体减排量贡献分别为0.247亿t CO2e、0.333亿t CO2e。

    Abstract:

    Heilongjiang Province is located in the northeast of China, with cold winter and long heating period. Aiming to cope with the problems of high rural living energy consumption, unreasonable energy structure and large straw energy demand in Heilongjiang Province, the resource quantity, consumption, energy structure and greenhouse gas emission reduction contribution of rural energy in Heilongjiang Province in 2030 and 2060 were predicated. The results showed that the total amount of rural energy consumption in Heilongjiang Province was about 22.0 million tons of standard coal currently, and the main rural energy used was straw and coal. From the perspective of greenhouse gas emission reduction, the contribution of straw burning and biomass briquette to greenhouse gas emission reduction was 1.40 million tons and 1.30 million tons CO2e, respectively. In 2030 and 2060, the total energy consumption of rural residents in Heilongjiang Province would be 5.9 million tons and 2.2 million tons of standard coal, respectively. Meanwhile, the amount of straw that can be collected was 92.8 million tons and 125.6 million tons, respectively. Under the background of greenhouse gas emission reduction and on the basis of meeting the demand of straw returning to the field and straw feeding, it was predicted that the maximum potential of straw for energy conversion in Heilongjiang Province in 2030 and 2060 would be 23.5 million tons and 31.7 million tons, respectively, equivalent to 4.5 million tons and 6.1 million tons of standard coal, accounting for 5.183% and 18.529% of the total energy consumption of rural residents in Heilongjiang Province in 2030 and 2060, respectively. In addition, the greenhouse gas emission reduction contribution of straw energy in 2030 and 2060 would be 24.7 million tons and 33.3 million tons CO2e, respectively. The research result had important guiding significance for greenhouse gas emission reduction and realizing the goal of carbon peak and neutrality.

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申瑞霞,姚宗路,赵立欣,霍丽丽,罗娟.双碳背景下黑龙江省农村生活用能研究[J].农业机械学报,2022,53(3):377-383. SHEN Ruixia, YAO Zonglu, ZHAO Lixin, HUO Lili, LUO Juan. Rural Living Energy in Heilongjiang Province under Background of Carbon Peak and Neutrality[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2022,53(3):377-383.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-12-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-10
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