不同播期和灌水条件下冬小麦生物量变化与产量模拟
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国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFD0300201、2016YFD0300105)


Biomass Change and Yield Simulation of Winter Wheat under Different Sowing Dates and Irrigation Conditions
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    摘要:

    为了阐明播期和灌水对冬小麦生物量积累动态特征的影响并实现不同播期与灌水条件下的产量模拟,在吴桥实验站2年(2017—2019年)播期水分大田试验基础上,结合2011—2017年播期水分文献资料,采用“小麦钟”模型发育指数来定量模拟冬小麦的发育期,以Logistic模型定量模拟不同播期和水分处理对地上部生物量积累动态的影响,并建立冬小麦生物量模型,进而构建冬小麦产量模型。结果表明,播期通过影响冬小麦生长旺盛期来影响生物量积累;播期推迟,冬小麦生长旺盛期缩短而使生物量减小。不同水分处理造成的地上部最大生物量的差异主要由生物量的最大积累速率决定,生物量最大积累速率随灌水量的增大呈先增加后下降趋势。基于冬前积温和生长季供水量建立冬小麦生物量与产量模型,冬小麦地上部生物量实测值和模拟值的均方根误差(RMSE)和归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)分别为1980.2kg/hm2和15.7%,产量实测值和模拟值的RMSE和NRMSE分别为839.7kg/hm2和10.6%。基于发育指数的Logistic模型能较好地模拟冬小麦的生物量积累,对不同播期与灌水条件下的产量具有较好的预测效果。足墒播种条件下,冬小麦适宜冬前积温为200~600℃·d,生长季适宜供水量为200~450mm。该研究为华北地区合理调控播期灌水措施提供了科学依据,为不同播期与灌水条件下冬小麦产量预测提供了思路。

    Abstract:

    Understanding how different sowing dates and irrigation scheduling affect wheat dry matter accumulation was very helpful to improve grain yield and resource utilization efficiency. Field experiments with six-levels sowing dates and four-levels irrigation for winter wheat over two years were conducted during 2017—2019 in North China Plain in Hebei Province, China. Based on the two-year experiment, combined with the literature data of coupling irrigation with sowing dates of Wuqiao Experimental Station from 2011 to 2017. The development index of “wheat clock” model was used to quantitatively express the development phase of winter wheat. The effects of different sowing date and irrigation treatment on the dynamic characteristics of biomass accumulation were analyzed by Logistic mathematical model and establishment of biomass prediction model of winter wheat. Furthermore, winter wheat yield prediction model was established based on the biomass prediction model. The results showed that sowing date affected biomass accumulation by affecting rapid growth period of biomass accumulation. With the delay of sowing date, the rapid growth period was shortened, which made the biomass decreased. The difference of the maximum aboveground biomass caused by different irrigation treatment was mainly determined by the maximum growth rate of biomass, and the increase of irrigation amount helped to increase the maximum growth rate. The characteristics of biomass accumulation of winter wheat were different under different sowing date and irrigation treatments. According to the biomass and yield prediction model of winter wheat based on accumulated temperature before wintering and water supply amount in the growing season, the root mean square error (RMSE) and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of measured and simulated above-ground biomass of winter wheat were 1980.2kg/hm2 and 15.7%, respectively, and the RMSE and NRMSE of measured and simulated yield were 839.7kg/hm2 and 10.6%, respectively. Logistic model based on development index can well simulate the biomass accumulation of winter wheat, and had a good simulation accuracy on yield under different sowing dates and irrigation conditions. Under adequate soil moisture conditions before sowing, the appropriate accumulated temperature before wintering was ranged from 200℃·d to 600℃·d, and the appropriate water supply amount in winter wheat growing season was between 200mm and 450mm. The research result can provide scientific basis for the reasonable control of sowing date and irrigation measures in North China, and provide ideas for the prediction of winter wheat yield under different sowing dates and irrigation conditions.

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陈先冠,冯利平,马雪晴,程陈,潘学标,王靖.不同播期和灌水条件下冬小麦生物量变化与产量模拟[J].农业机械学报,2021,52(10):349-357. CHEN Xianguan, FENG Liping, MA Xueqing, CHENG Chen, PAN Xuebiao, WANG Jing. Biomass Change and Yield Simulation of Winter Wheat under Different Sowing Dates and Irrigation Conditions[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2021,52(10):349-357.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-11-17
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-01-11
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