基于光照度的农田蒸散量估算方法研究
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宁夏回族自治区重点研发计划项目(2018NCZD0024)


Forecasting Method of Hay Evapotranspiration Based on Illuminance
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    摘要:

    针对实际蒸散量(Actual evapotranspiration,ETa)估算过程中太阳辐射测量设备昂贵、难以大量布署安装,以及单元机器学习回归算法精度低、泛化性能差的问题,提出了一种基于光照度的集成算法。首先,将光照度作为模型的输入量代替太阳辐射,提出了基于光照度的晴朗指数;提出了以极端梯度提升模型(Extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)、分布式梯度提升框架(Light gradient boosting machine,LightGBM)、随机森林回归(Random forest regression,RFR)、支持向量回归(Support vector regression,SVR)为基础模型的实际蒸散量估算集成算法。结果表明:在农田实际蒸散量的估算中光照度可以替代太阳辐射,通过单元模型和集成模型分别对比基于光照度和太阳辐射的ETa估算结果,两者最大均方根误差(RMSE)差值为0.031mm/h,决定系数(R2)的最大差值为0.053。晴朗指数有助于模型更好地学习不同天气条件下的蒸散量数据分布特征,与未添加晴朗指数的集成模型估算结果相比,RMSE降低了0.028mm/h,R2提高了0.03。采用集成算法比单元模型算法性能有明显提升,基于光照度的集成模型RMSE为0.037mm/h、R2为0.985。本文从估算蒸散量所需的数据源、特征量以及估算算法等多个角度进行了探索,为农田蒸散量的估算提供了一种新思路。

    Abstract:

    For evapotranspiration (ETa) estimation, the solar radiation measurement equipment is expensive, it is hardly to deploy a large number of measurements, and the unit regression algorithm has low accuracy and poor generalization performance. An integrated algorithm based on illuminance was proposed to estimate ETa. Firstly, the illuminance instead of solar radiation was used as the input of the model, and a sunny index based on illuminance was proposed to improve the estimation effect. Secondly, an integrated algorithm that fused extreme gradient boosting model (XGBoost), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), random forest regression (RFR), support vector regression (SVR) was used to estimate the farmland actual evapotranspiration. The results showed that the illuminance could replace the solar radiation in the estimation of the actual evapotranspiration of farmland. The unit model and the integrated model were used to compare the ETa estimation results based on the illuminance and solar radiation, respectively. The maximum difference of root mean square error (RMSE) between the two methods was 0.031mm/h. The maximum difference of determination coefficient (R2) was 0.053. The sunny index helped the model better learn the distribution characteristics of evapotranspiration data under different weather conditions. Compared with the estimation result of the integrated model without adding sunny index, the RMSE was reduced by 0.028mm/h, and R2 was increased by 0.03. The performance of the integrated algorithm was significantly improved than that of the unit model algorithm. The optimal RMSE was 0.037mm/h and R2 was 0.985. The research explored the data sources, characteristic quantities and estimation algorithms required for estimating evapotranspiration, and provided a new idea for estimating farmland evapotranspiration.

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苏宝峰,张旭东,米志文,杜鹤娟.基于光照度的农田蒸散量估算方法研究[J].农业机械学报,2021,52(4):285-292,310. SU Baofeng, ZHANG Xudong, MI Zhiwen, DU Hejuan. Forecasting Method of Hay Evapotranspiration Based on Illuminance[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2021,52(4):285-292,310.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-07-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-10
  • 出版日期: 2021-04-10