基于1D CNN-GRU的日光温室温度预测模型研究
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国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFD1100602)和陕西省重点研发计划项目(2021ZDLNY03-02)


Solar Greenhouse Temperature Prediction Model Based on 1D CNN-GRU
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    摘要:

    准确预测日光温室温度是实现温室高效调控的关键,对作物生长发育具有重要意义,但因温度具有时序性、非线性及多耦合性等特征,难以实现连续、精准、长时化预测。提出了一种基于1D CNN-GRU(One dimensional convolutional neural networks-gated recurrent unit)的日光温室温度预测模型,通过温室内外监测平台获取内外环境因子,以斯皮尔曼相关系数获取相关性强特征,构造特征与时间步长的二维矩阵输入网络进行温度预测,模型在测试集上预测1~4h后的决定系数为0.970~0.994,均方根误差为0.612~1.358℃,平均绝对误差为0.428~0.854℃,绝对值的最大绝对误差为0.856~1.959℃。并在不同清晰度指数KT下进行验证,结果表明,模型在KT≥0.5(晴)时预测效果最好,且在其他KT下模型相对误差在10%以内,可以达到温室生产所需的预测精度要求,为日光温室精准高效控温提供了重要依据。

    Abstract:

    Accurate prediction of heliostat temperature was the key to achieve efficient greenhouse regulation, which was of great importance to crop growth and development, but it was difficult to achieve continuous and accurate prediction due to the characteristics of time series, nonlinearity and multi coupling of temperature. At the same time, the current production regulation of greenhouse mostly depended on the relevant experience of producers. This method had caused the lag of feedback control and affected the growth of crops.A temperature prediction model of solar greenhouse based on 1D CNN-GRU was proposed. The internal and external environmental factors were obtained through the monitoring platform inside and outside the greenhouse, and the strong correlation features and structural features were obtained by Spearman correlation coefficient and the two-dimensional matrix input network with time step, which was used for temperature prediction. The determination coefficient of the model after 1~4h prediction on the test set was 0.970~0.994, the root mean square error was 0.612~1.358℃, the average error was 0.428~0.854℃,and the maximum absolute error after the absolute value was 0.856~1.959℃. The model was verified under different KT and the results showed that the model had the best prediction effect when KT≥0.5(sunny), and the model also achieved ideal prediction accuracy under other KT, indicating that the model was universal and provided an important basis for accurate and efficient temperature control of solar greenhouse.

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胡瑾,雷文晔,卢有琦,魏子朝,刘行行,高茂盛.基于1D CNN-GRU的日光温室温度预测模型研究[J].农业机械学报,2023,54(8):339-346. HU Jin, LEI Wenye, LU Youqi, WEI Zichao, LIU Hangxing, GAO Maosheng. Solar Greenhouse Temperature Prediction Model Based on 1D CNN-GRU[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2023,54(8):339-346.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-12-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-10
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