农业分区框架下Hargreaves-Samani公式的逐月回归修正
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

高分辨率对地观测系统重大专项、国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC1504603)和中国人民财产保险股份有限公司灾害研究基金项目(2017D24-03)


Regression Correction of Hargreaves-Samani Equation by Monthly under Framework of China’s Agricultural Comprehensive Zoning
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为验证中国农业综合分区框架下Hargreaves-Samani(HS)公式线性回归修正方案的适用性,利用中国气象数据网发布的124个站点1957—2016年的逐月有效日平均气压、平均最低气温、平均最高气温、平均风速、平均水汽压、月总太阳辐射数据及站点经纬度数据,首先,分别基于Penman-Monteith(PM)公式和HS公式计算了各站点多年逐月的参考作物需水量ET0-PM和ET0-HS。然后,以ET0-PM为真值,基于1957—2010年的逐月ET0-PM和ET0-HS,利用线性回归分析方法获取了中国38个农业管理子区的HS公式校正系数a、b,并以2011—2016年为验证年份,通过比较ET0-HS校正前后的相对误差变化,验证了HS公式线性回归校正方法在中国农业区的适用性,并结合验证年份的具体误差结果,确定了各农业区HS公式校正系数a、b的逐月最优取值。结果表明:大部分农业区的大部分月份ET0-PM与ET0-HS的相关系数超过0.6,可以进行ET0-HS的回归校正;回归校正得到的系数a存在显著的季节变化规律,系数b则表现较为平稳;系数a、b的大小及变化说明了ET0-PM和ET0-HS彼此之间存在差异,且季节性明显;校正前后的ET0-HS均存在不同程度的相对误差,但校正后的ET0-HS的误差范围已经显著缩小;在具体的验证应用中,校正后的ET0-HS并不完全是最优结果,实践中系数a、b的优选使用才是最佳方案。本研究验证的HS公式线性回归校正方法是实践中简便、可行的方案,对大尺度区域快速获得较高精度的参考作物需水量具有实际意义和推广价值。

    Abstract:

    Aiming to verify the applicability of the linear regression correction scheme for Hargreaves-Samani (HS) equation under the framework of agricultural comprehensive division of China, by using 124 stations meteorological data from 1957 to 2016 released by China Meteorological Data Service Center, the multiyear reference crop evapotranspiration ET0-PM and ET0-HS were calculated by monthly based on Penman-Monteith (PM) equation and the HS, respectively. Then, taking ET0-PM as the true value, linear regression analysis method was used to collect the monthly correction coefficients a and b of the HS by ET0-PMand ET0-HS from 1957 to 2010 for 38 agricultural management subareas of China. Thirdly, by comparing the relative error changes before and after ET0-HS correction during 2011—2016, the applicability of HS equation linear regression correction method in China’s agricultural areas was verified. Lastly, combined with the specific error results during 2011—2016, the optimal monthly values of the HS correction coefficients a and b in each agricultural area were determined. The results showed that the ET0-PM and ET0-HS had good correlation (more than 0.6) in most months and in most agricultural areas. Therefore, the regression analysis can be carried out. Coefficient a obtained by regression correction had a significant seasonal change, while coefficient bwas relatively stable, which implied that there were obvious seasonal differencing between ET0-PM andET0-HS. There were relative errors for ET0-HS before and after correction in different degrees, but the error range of ET0-HS after correction was significantly reduced. In specific verification applications, ET0-HS after correction was not the best result for all areas in each month. Therefore, the optimization of a and b coefficients was the best scheme in practice. The linear regression correction of the HS was a simple and feasible scheme in practice, which had practical significance and popularization value for rapid acquisition of highprecision reference crop evapotranspiration in large-scale area.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

夏兴生,潘耀忠,朱秀芳,张锦水.农业分区框架下Hargreaves-Samani公式的逐月回归修正[J].农业机械学报,2020,51(3):258-267. XIA Xingsheng, PAN Yaozhong, ZHU Xiufang, ZHANG Jinshui. Regression Correction of Hargreaves-Samani Equation by Monthly under Framework of China’s Agricultural Comprehensive Zoning[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(3):258-267.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-29
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2020-03-10
  • 出版日期: