SWMM模型径流参数全局灵敏度分析
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(50879071、51009065)


Global Sensitivity Analysis of Runoff Parameters of SWMM Model
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    摘要:

    选取基于Horton和Green—Ampt入渗模型的入渗参数,以及区域坡度、区域宽度、透水性区域的曼宁系数和可积水深度共7个SWMM模型参数,采用Morris方法进行全局灵敏度分析。并分别采用不同降水类型、不同重现期的单个降水事件及长期降水序列,分析各模型参数对总产流量、洪峰流量及径流系数3个输出变量的全局灵敏度。结果表明:T1和T2型降水的参数灵敏度分析结果呈现较大差异,T2型较小降水事件不适宜用于参数校核;对Horton入渗模型而言,可利用T1型较大降水事件的洪峰流量对区域形状系数进行校核,利用T2型较大降水事件的总产流量对最小入渗速率、消减系数K进行校核;对Green—Ampt入渗模型而言,可利用T1型较小降水事件的洪峰流量对区域宽度和坡度进行校核及总产流量对透水性区域的曼宁系数进行校核,利用T2型较大降水事件的洪峰流量对最小入渗速率和缺水率进行校核;对径流系数而言,采用Horton和Green—Ampt入渗模型的结果一致,最大入渗速率和最小入渗速率是最灵敏的两个参数,透水性表面的可积水深度和曼宁系数为最不灵敏的两个参数。

    Abstract:

    Based on practicability analysis of SWMM model parameters in the calibration process, four parameters of subcatchment slope, subcatchment width, Manning coefficient and depression depth on pervious area and three infiltration parameters were selected. Two popular infiltration models of Horton and Green—Ampt were examined respectively. Global sensitivity analysis method of Morris was used. Flow metrics of total rainfall depth and peak discharge were simulated for single rainfall events with different rainfall types and return periods while runoff coefficient was examined for the long-term rainfall data. Main results were: sensitivity analysis results for T1 and T2 rainfall events indicated great differences and T2 rainfall event with small return period was not suitable for parameters calibration; for Horton model, peak discharge of large T1 rainfall can be used for calibrating subcatchment width and slope while total runoff of large T2 can be used for calibrating infiltration parameters; for Green—Ampt model, peak discharge of small T1 rainfall can be used to calibrate subcatchement width and that of large T2 rainfall can be used to calibrate minimum infiltration rate and water deficiency; for the runoff coefficient, sensitivity analysis results of the two methods are similar.

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孙艳伟,把多铎,王文川,姜体胜,王富强. SWMM模型径流参数全局灵敏度分析[J].农业机械学报,2012,43(7):42-49. Sun Yanwei, Ba Duoduo, Wang Wenchuan, Jiang Tisheng, Wang Fuqiang. Global Sensitivity Analysis of Runoff Parameters of SWMM Model[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2012,43(7):42-49.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2012-07-02
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